Viljandi vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viljandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
SIK
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
TAM
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KAL
2 - 1
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
TRA
5 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rakvere JK Tarvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 5
RAK
15%
19%
67%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
RAK
7 - 1
LAS
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 3
RAK
20%
20%
61%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
KEI
2 - 5
RAK
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
RAK
3 - 2
SKA
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |