Viljandi vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viljandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
FLO
5 - 0
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
TAL
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TAL
2 - 2
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
FLO
13%
20%
68%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAI
0 - 2
VIL
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PAI
0 - 0
TAL
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KUR
1 - 1
PAI
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FLO
0 - 0
PAI
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KUR
0 - 1
PAI
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PAI
1 - 1
KUR
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |