Vilhena vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
REM
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
GEN
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 0
RIO
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
REM
1 - 0
RIO
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
GAL
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |