Vilhena vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
NAU
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
REM
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
NAU
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
REM
4 - 2
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
ATL
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |