Vilhena vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
REM
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
GEN
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 0
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
VIL
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
BAR
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
ARO
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAU
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
6 - 1
GAS
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |