Vilhena vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
REM
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
NAU
61%
20%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 0
NAU
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +4 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
REM
18%
23%
59%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |