Vilhena vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
RIO
24%
24%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
61%
20%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REM
3 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
REM
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |