Vilhena vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAU
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
MIX
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
3 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MET
0 - 0
AVA
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |