Vilches vs CA Bailén 1808 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 2
VIL
48%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAE
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 1
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDR
3 - 1
VIL
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
CA Bailén 1808
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
CDR
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAB
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
CAZ
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IDJ
0 - 1
CAB
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
4 - 2
LID
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |