Vilches vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 2
CDH
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDV
4 - 2
VIL
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDT
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
IDJ
36%
23%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BAE
1 - 0
CDV
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 4
BAE
28%
21%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BAE
8 - 0
MAN
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
IDJ
4 - 0
BAE
46%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAE
1 - 1
CDA
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |