Vilches vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEG
1 - 1
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAR
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALH
0 - 2
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 4
CDL
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 0
CDV
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ICF
2 - 2
ATL
60%
20%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 0
CDA
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VDJ
1 - 3
ATL
16%
20%
65%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |