Vilaverdense FC vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
9º
7º
10
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 36 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 19 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 16 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 3
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIL
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
AMA
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
LUS
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
FAF
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
VAR
27%
27%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |