Vilaverdense FC vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 3
VIL
12%
18%
71%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAN
68%
17%
14%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CAM
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
19%
21%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
PED
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 2
MON
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |