Vilaverdense FC vs Desportivo Mirandês analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TRO
4 - 3
VIL
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOR
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Desportivo Mirandês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 3
GFC
6%
17%
78%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 1
MIR
90%
7%
2%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
MIR
90%
8%
2%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 1
FAF
8%
16%
77%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 3
COI
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |