Vilaverdense FC vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAM
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
GON
25%
26%
50%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOA
3 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 0
VIL
57%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
INF
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FAM
1 - 1
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 2
CHA
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |