Vilavelhense vs Jaguaré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilavelhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RVV
1 - 1
VFC
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 0
VFC
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 3
SER
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
VFC
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
VFC
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguaré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
0 - 2
CAP
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
JAG
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 2
POR
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
NVE
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
JAG
59%
20%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |