Vilavelhense vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilavelhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 1
VFC
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 0
RIO
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
VFC
80%
13%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 1
VFC
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VFC
4 - 0
GEL
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 3
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DES
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
ITA
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 3
VIT
19%
21%
59%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |