Vilar de Perdizes vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+117%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
12º
11º
35
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
FCP
2%
11%
87%
|
32 | 89 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 0
VPE
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
3 - 3
OSL
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VPE
5 - 1
VAS
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TIR
3 - 1
VPE
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
OSA
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
RIB
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEV
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |