Vilar de Perdizes vs AR São Martinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
14º
6º
24
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 51.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
VPE
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
3 - 1
VIA
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 2
VPE
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
MON
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
VPE
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
MER
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PED
1 - 1
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AMA
42%
27%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |