Vilar de Perdizes vs Ribeirão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
12º
11º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
OSL
2 - 1
VPE
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VPE
1 - 2
TIR
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
VPE
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VPE
2 - 1
BRI
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
VPE
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 2
MIR
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 0
RIB
40%
22%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 0
OSA
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 2
RIB
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RIB
2 - 0
PEV
39%
27%
35%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |