Vilar de Perdizes vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
12º
11º
34
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 2
VPE
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VPE
1 - 2
POR
46%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VPE
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VPE
1 - 1
MER
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PED
3 - 1
VPE
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
MIR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 2
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
FAF
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
VAR
14%
25%
61%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |