Vilanova D'Alcolea vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+211%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
CLU
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CLU
1 - 1
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEN
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 2
CHE
37%
21%
42%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
CIN
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
4 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
7 - 0
CFA
53%
21%
27%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POB
1 - 1
CAL
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAT
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VIN
0 - 2
CAL
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |