Vilafranquense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
ARO
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 1
ACV
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 2
SPC
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
3 - 1
MAF
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 3
SPC
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |