Vilafranquense vs Real Sport Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
FAR
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 2
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIL
68%
20%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
CHA
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
REA
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
REA
2 - 1
COV
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
CAL
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
FCB
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 1
REA
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |