Vilafranquense vs Pêro Pinheiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.2%
1.9%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
0 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 3
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
PER
3 - 0
CAC
24%
22%
53%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POV
0 - 0
PER
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PER
1 - 3
REA
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PER
0 - 2
ALV
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OEI
2 - 0
PER
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |