Vilafranquense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ELE
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 2
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAC
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
1DE
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
LUS
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOR
21%
27%
52%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 0
LUS
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAF
3 - 0
LUS
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |