Campeonato de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Vilafranquense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
VIZ
0 - 2
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIZ
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
ALC
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PRA
0 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
FEL
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FEL
2 - 3
FAR
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 3
FAR
15%
24%
60%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FAR
4 - 1
LOU
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |