Vilafranquense vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
0 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 3
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAL
20%
23%
56%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAF
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |