Vilafranquense vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PRA
0 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
LOU
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
1DE
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
1DE
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
TOR
22%
26%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 1
ALC
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
MAF
13%
23%
64%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |