Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-5
FC Vilafranca vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
1 - 2
STB
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
LLE
1 - 1
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
GIM
2 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
8%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
4 - 1
ATL
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
2 - 1
CFL
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
4 - 0
VAL
22%
28%
50%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
2 - 0
OND
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAL
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
ALB
2 - 3
VAL
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
0 - 1
MHN
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |