Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-4
FC Vilafranca vs Reus Deportiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
VIL
2 - 0
JUP
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
BAD
3 - 1
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDM
61%
23%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
GAV
1 - 1
VIL
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VIL
2 - 2
VIN
43%
28%
29%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Reus Deportiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
IGU
2 - 0
REU
51%
28%
21%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
REU
4 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
LCA
3 - 1
REU
60%
24%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
REU
7 - 1
UAH
65%
21%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
OLO
0 - 0
REU
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |