Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 6-2
FC Vilafranca vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
HOS
0 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 0
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
EUR
54%
24%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GAV
0 - 1
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
TER
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
RUN
0 - 0
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 1
PEÑ
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 2
PEÑ
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
UDL
18%
26%
56%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TUD
0 - 1
PEÑ
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |