FC Vilafranca vs Girona FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
16º
13º
42
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
2 - 2
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HOS
3 - 1
VIL
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
UES
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Girona FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GIR
0 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GIR
0 - 1
EUR
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
GIR
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 4
GIR
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GIR
4 - 1
HOS
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |