FC Vilafranca vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
16º
13º
57
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
4 - 1
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
PRA
20%
26%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
GIM
10%
23%
68%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
VIL
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EUR
2 - 0
GIR
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
EUR
15%
24%
62%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 1
EUR
53%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 1
EUR
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
OLO
1 - 0
EUR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |