Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 5-2
FC Vilafranca vs Atlético Monzón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
2 - 1
CFL
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
FIG
4 - 0
VIL
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
VIL
3 - 0
GRA
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CON
5 - 0
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIL
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Monzón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
ATL
3 - 0
NUM
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ATL
1 - 1
RSO
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIL
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |