Vila Real vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
64.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 2
PEN
30%
23%
46%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
24 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
FCP
6 - 1
VIL
91%
6%
3%
|
24 | 88 | 64 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCP
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 88 | 63 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
VIL
3 - 2
VIT
15%
17%
68%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | +2 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
SPB
1 - 3
VIT
44%
28%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |