Vila Real vs Vilar de Perdizes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+117%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
14º
7º
31
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 1
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
DUM
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 1
VIL
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PEV
0 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 2
RIB
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VPE
2 - 0
RIB
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
OSL
2 - 1
VPE
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VPE
1 - 2
TIR
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
VPE
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VPE
2 - 1
BRI
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |