Vila Real vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
10º
9º
26
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 50 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 36 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 1
VIL
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
TIR
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRI
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIA
2 - 1
JOA
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIA
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
VIA
67%
21%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 1
ANA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIA
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |