Vila Real vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
10º
5º
7
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
6 | 47 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 47 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 45 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 38 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 38 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 33 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 33 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 32 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 1
VIL
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
TIR
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRI
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIA
2 - 1
JOA
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIA
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
VIA
67%
21%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 1
ANA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIA
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |