Vila Real vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEC
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
REB
3 - 0
VIL
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -3 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
LOU
28%
24%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
FAM
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
JOA
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 1
VAR
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ADO
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |