Vila Real vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AMA
3 - 3
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PED
0 - 1
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEC
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
TRO
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
TIR
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
TIR
3 - 2
BRI
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 0
TIR
75%
17%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TIR
0 - 2
VSC
15%
22%
63%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
TIR
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |