Vila Real vs Ribeirão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
65.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEV
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
OSL
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
TIR
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OSA
2 - 0
RIB
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEV
2 - 1
RIB
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
6 - 1
RIB
14%
18%
67%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +7 |