Vila Real vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
54.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TRO
3 - 0
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMA
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 5
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 3
CAS
14%
21%
65%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 0
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
AMA
36%
25%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
SAL
16%
24%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
SLB
3%
12%
85%
|
34 | 87 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
COI
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |