Vila Real vs Mondinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +4 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
VIL
29%
21%
49%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 3
LUS
12%
22%
65%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COI
2 - 1
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mondinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
PEV
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
MON
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
TOR
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FAF
2 - 0
MON
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PED
0 - 1
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |