Vila Real vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
65.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COI
2 - 1
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
ESP
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIL
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUS
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LEC
3 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 2
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 0
LUS
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
3 - 0
FEL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PED
0 - 0
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
69%
19%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |