Vila Real vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LUS
4 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 6
FCP
6%
18%
76%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
LEC
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAR
54%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
FAV
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 2
CAS
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 1
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |