Vila Real vs Berco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
TIR
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AMA
3 - 3
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PED
0 - 1
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEC
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 1
JOA
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 0
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BSC
4 - 2
BRI
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FEL
5 - 4
BSC
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 4
VSC
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |