Vila Real vs Berco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
30%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAR
26%
27%
47%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
VIL
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 6
SMA
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TIR
4 - 2
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
AMA
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 1
BSC
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
BSC
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
SMP
51%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
BSC
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |