Vila Real vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
VIL
62%
19%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
COI
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
GIN
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMA
57%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SFU
2 - 0
AMA
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 4
LEC
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PED
3 - 2
AMA
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |