Vila Real vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 3
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
FEL
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +5 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIZ
1 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIB
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIZ
2 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RIB
0 - 0
AMA
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 1
TIR
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ADO
2 - 1
AMA
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |