Vila Nova vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 4
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
26%
23%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ANA
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 1
VIL
22%
22%
56%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 3
ANA
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
TRI
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TRI
4 - 0
GOI
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 0
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
GOI
11%
17%
73%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |